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  • It’s something that I would like to do an empcaiirl study of some time, but my guess is that record of the last 10-15 games isn’t a particularly significant piece of data for predicting how a team is going to do in the playoffs, though it must clearly be scaled for the length of the regular season. (Performance over the last ten games is almost assuredly a good predictor in the NFL, for instance.)I have watched numerous teams, in multiple sports, that very clearly can turn it back on once the games count, and incredibly hot teams that flame out. (The University of Minnesota hockey team is a current example of the latter that’s weighing on me heavily at the moment.) I would think that it depends a lot upon whether the poor/good performance is related to something concrete that has changed about the team, as opposed to a bunch of guys just going through the motions.

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